Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000583 0.000670 0.000764 0.000871 0.000988 0.001114 0.001259
2025-04-20 0.000462 0.000585 0.000725 0.000897 0.001098 0.001325 0.001601
2025-04-27 0.000393 0.000532 0.000698 0.000908 0.001165 0.001466 0.001842
2025-05-04 0.000331 0.000477 0.000658 0.000898 0.001201 0.001566 0.002035
2025-05-11 0.000280 0.000427 0.000619 0.000880 0.001220 0.001641 0.002194
2025-05-18 0.000250 0.000401 0.000605 0.000892 0.001275 0.001760 0.002408
2025-05-25 0.000222 0.000374 0.000587 0.000895 0.001316 0.001859 0.002599
2025-06-01 0.000189 0.000336 0.000549 0.000866 0.001311 0.001898 0.002710
2025-06-08 0.000161 0.000302 0.000514 0.000839 0.001306 0.001933 0.002816
2025-06-15 0.000143 0.000282 0.000498 0.000837 0.001334 0.002011 0.002980
2025-06-22 0.000128 0.000265 0.000483 0.000835 0.001361 0.002090 0.003144
2025-06-29 0.000113 0.000245 0.000464 0.000825 0.001374 0.002148 0.003281
2025-07-06 0.000098 0.000225 0.000442 0.000808 0.001378 0.002193 0.003403
2025-07-13 0.000091 0.000219 0.000442 0.000828 0.001437 0.002318 0.003639
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000211 0.000439 0.000840 0.001484 0.002428 0.003855
2025-07-27 0.000074 0.000196 0.000422 0.000830 0.001496 0.002485 0.003998
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000180 0.000403 0.000813 0.001496 0.002523 0.004113
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000174 0.000400 0.000825 0.001541 0.002629 0.004328
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000165 0.000392 0.000827 0.001571 0.002714 0.004514
2025-08-24 0.000046 0.000150 0.000369 0.000800 0.001552 0.002722 0.004585
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000135 0.000347 0.000775 0.001533 0.002731 0.004657
2025-09-07 0.000035 0.000128 0.000339 0.000773 0.001553 0.002800 0.004820
2025-09-14 0.000031 0.000121 0.000331 0.000771 0.001575 0.002870 0.004986